Tuesday, October 28, 2008
Predicting the Past
Adam Sternbergh has a fascinating profile of Nate Silver, the so-called "Spreadsheet Psychic," in this week's New York Magazine. In addition to forecasting baseball games with great accuracy, Silver also calls elections. As of October 8, he had the electoral vote count tilting heavily toward Obama — 354.4 to 192.6.
Of special interest to Michiganders is his breakdown of who would have won the state's Democratic primary if Barack Obama had been on the ballot along with Hillary Clinton.
Obama by four percent, according to Silver.